To better understand what it’s really like to try and win an election as a woman, we spoke to women from every state who have done it — 97 women in all.

2024 Republican Debates The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump Six of the eight candidates from the first debate appear set to qualify for the Sept. 27 event.

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The Details Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their histor… ...

2024 Election Do Americans Like Donald Trump, Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis? We’re tracking the favorability ratings of declared — and potential — 2024 presidential candidates.

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.

Let’s get this out of the way up front: There was a wide gap between the perception of how well polls and data-driven forecasts did in 2022 and the reality of h… ...

With this, former President Gerald Ford announced in March 1980 that he would not make a late entrance into the Republican presidential nomination race after long teasing a potential bid. For ...

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Twitter’s new owner, Elon Musk, might not have any credibility as a pollster in FiveThirtyEight’s rating system, but he’s a pollster ...

Even with an additional senator going into 2023, the 2024 map is still so bad for Democrats that keeping the Senate for years to come will be a fairly tough order. The party’s prospects might ...

We don’t even know every result of 2022 yet, but the 2024 election has already begun. On Tuesday, former President Donald Trump announced that he would seek a second nonconsecutive term as ...

Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances and are scaled to an 82-game regular season. The similarity score is an index measuring how ...